Online prediction market traders make millions betting on U.S. military operations

[ad_1] This is an updated version of a story first published on May 17, 2026. The original video can be viewed here.  The war with Iran and the U.S. military operation to capture Venezuelan President Nicolás Maduro have carried the usual hallmarks of conflict: soldiers, strategy, casualties, cost. But they’ve also been accompanied by a new feature: betting on war. This year alone, more than a billion dollars has been staked online on military decisions and outcomes. As if they were wagering on football games or Oscar winners, bettors all over the globe have taken positions — some suspiciously-timed and with information seemingly too specific for a civilian outsider — on when and how an attack might happen; even the fate of world leaders. As we first reported in May, it’s created a whole new category of

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